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Internal Security Crisis in EcuadorLatin America50 dCivil War and Political Instability in MyanmarSoutheast Asia50 dArmed Conflict in YemenArabian Peninsula52 dPolitical and Institutional Crisis in VenezuelaSouth America50 dArmed Conflict between Israel and Palestine57 dStrategic Tensions between India and PakistanSouth Asia39 dArmed Insurgency and Terrorist Violence in NigeriaWest Africa213 dState Collapse, Gang Violence and Institutional Breakdown in HaitiLatin America50 dRegional War in Iran and Escalation with the U.S. and IsraelMedio Oriente44 dWar between Russia and UkraineEastern Europe60 dCivil War in SudanAfrica46 dArmed Conflict and Territorial Fragmentation in SyriaMiddle East50 dGeopolitical Tensions in the Taiwan StraitEast Asia50 dPolitical Instability and Violence in AfghanistanCentral Asia50 dPolitical Instability and Armed Violence in South SudanEast Africa50 dMilitary Escalation in Southern Lebanon42 dHumanitarian Emergency and Security Crisis in SomaliaEast Africa50 dTerritorial Disputes in the South China SeaEast Asia50 dInternal Security Crisis in MexicoLatin America50 dArmed Conflict and Political Instability in EthiopiaHorn of Africa92 d

International Affairs Watch · An independent observatory documenting armed conflicts and crises from open sources. Every fact carries its date and its source.

This week's focus · Latin America

State Collapse, Gang Violence and Institutional Breakdown in Haiti

Collapse of public order, territorial expansion of armed groups and fragile political transition in the most vulnerable state in the Western Hemisphere.

Open the full profileSee every conflict
Conflicts covered
20
6 under weekly monitoring
Regions covered
14
Actors mapped
102
Latest documented fact
Jul 31, 2026
LatestOpen the monitor
How we work

Explaining a conflict is not the same as having an opinion about it.

The method has three stages, always in the same order. First we establish what happened and on what evidence. Then we identify the actors involved, their capabilities and their interests. Only at the end do we interpret what the observed development implies and what should be monitored next.

01

The facts

We reconstruct what happened and when, fact by fact, with the source that supports it. Every published claim must be traceable back to that source, and where information is incomplete or sources contradict each other, we say so.

02

The actors

We identify the state and non-state actors involved: what they seek, what capabilities they hold and how they relate to one another. Where the case allows, we also record territorial control, external involvement and mediation channels.

03

What to watch

On that basis we set out the implications of the observed development, the variables that may alter its trajectory and the indicators to monitor, together with the evidence that would confirm or rule out each assessment.

Read the methodology
CONFLICT SEVERITY INDEX

Maximum alert zones · Highest CSI severity

The situations with the highest CSI severity right now. Each card reflects human cost with full methodological rigor.

94

Civil War in Sudan

AFRICA

70

State Collapse, Gang Violence and Institutional Breakdown in Haiti

LATIN AMERICA

60

Armed Insurgency and Terrorist Violence in Nigeria

WEST AFRICA

No index

Humanitarian Emergency and Security Crisis in Somalia

EAST AFRICA

No index

Civil War and Political Instability in Myanmar

SOUTHEAST ASIA

No index

Armed Conflict between Israel and Palestine

No index

Military Escalation in Southern Lebanon

No index

War between Russia and Ukraine

EASTERN EUROPE

View all conflicts and methodology
Why we exist

Some conflicts only surface once it is too late.

Millions of people live inside crises with no correspondents and not a single story this week. It isn't that the information is missing: what's missing is someone to gather it, order it and explain it.

What isn't explained isn't debated. And what isn't debated isn't solved.

About the project
How to use this site

What you'll find here.

Each section answers a different question. If this is your first visit, here is the map.

01Conflict profilesThe full picture of each conflict: what is happening, who is fighting, what is at stake, how it got here and what may come next. This is the core of the site.See the conflicts02Global monitorThe map of documented events: where and when each one happened, with its source. Built to follow a situation day by day, not to read a summary.Open the map03ActorsWho is who in each conflict, and where else they appear. Forces, governments and groups, with what they control and what they want.See the actors04AnalysisOur own pieces and invited voices explaining the why behind the events: causes, consequences and regional readings.Read the analysis05BriefingsShort situation reads, to catch up on a conflict in five minutes without going through the whole profile.See the briefings06Severity indexOur instrument for comparing conflicts on the same scale: five dimensions and a 0–100 score. Still in development, published only where the evidence supports it.How it is calculated
About IAW

Independent platform for conflict monitoring and analysis. Open methodology, transparent scoring process, structured around the Conflict Severity Index.

Learn more about IAW→
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