This week's focus · South America
Political and Institutional Crisis in Venezuela
U.S. intervention, an uncertain transition, and acute economic fragility in a country central to regional stability and energy markets.
- Conflicts tracked
- 20
- Regions covered
- 14
- Actors mapped
- 102
- Last updated
- Feb 10, 2026
Latest
- Profile · Armed Insurgency and Terrorist Violence in Nigeria
- Profile · Armed Conflict between Israel and Palestine
- Event · Dozens Killed in Central Nigeria Even as US Expands Role
- Event · At least 31 killed in Islamabad Shi'ite mosque bombing, Islamic State…
How we work
How we read a conflict.
We don't publish opinions about what happens. We rebuild the conflict from documented events, map every actor and what they want, and only then explain what it means. Here is Political and Institutional Crisis in Venezuela, step by step.
01
Who is who
The part you will rarely find in a news story: each actor, what they control and what they are after.
- Chavista government (D. Rodríguez)Caretaker executive
State apparatus · Constitutional limbo since July 2026
- Nicolás MaduroFormer president, on trial in New York
— · Detained; trial proposed for June 2027
- United StatesExternal power; Jan 2026 military operation
— · Three-phase transition plan
- Venezuelan oppositionOpposition; Machado sidelined, Figuera negotiating
— · Divided
02
What to watch
The signals that could change the course of the conflict in the coming weeks.
- Constitutional vacuumThe caretaker presidency exceeded the Art. 234 limit with no elections called; each week without definition erodes the…
- Electoral reform negotiationThe Figuera-Rodríguez track on the CNE is the only active path toward a verifiable electoral timeline.
- Post-earthquake reconstructionDisaster management defines the caretaker government's legitimacy and the pace of sanctions relief.
Every figure on this site can be traced back to the source behind it. And once a conflict has gathered enough evidence, we also score it with our severity index.
See the methodologyCONFLICT SEVERITY INDEX
Maximum alert zones · Highest CSI severity
The situations with the highest CSI severity right now. Each card reflects human cost with full methodological rigor.
93.7
Civil War in Sudan
AFRICA
69.5
State Collapse, Gang Violence and Institutional Breakdown in Haiti
LATIN AMERICA
67.0
Armed Conflict in Yemen
ARABIAN PENINSULA
60.0
Armed Insurgency and Terrorist Violence in Nigeria
WEST AFRICA
39.0
Political and Institutional Crisis in Venezuela
SOUTH AMERICA
28.4
Armed Conflict and Political Instability in Ethiopia
HORN OF AFRICA
—
Humanitarian Emergency and Security Crisis in Somalia
EAST AFRICA
—
Internal Security Crisis in Mexico
LATIN AMERICA
Why we exist
Some conflicts only surface once it is too late.
Millions of people live inside crises with no correspondents and not a single story this week. It isn't that the information is missing: what's missing is someone to gather it, order it and explain it.
- Armed Insurgency and Terrorist Violence in NigeriaWest AfricaThis conflict profile is being developed by IAW analysts34.7MFacing food insecurityCadre Harmonisé (Gobierno de Nigeria/FAO/PMA), proyección junio-agosto 2026
- Armed Conflict and Political Instability in EthiopiaHorn of AfricaTigray war (resolved), ongoing regional insurgencies, post-conflict transition21.7MFacing food insecurityUN World Food Programme (WFP), Integrated Food Security Phase Classification
- Political Instability and Violence in AfghanistanCentral AsiaThis conflict profile is being developed by IAW analysts13.8MFacing food insecurityIPC (proyección Fase 3+ abril-septiembre 2026; análisis de diciembre 2025)
What isn't explained isn't debated. And what isn't debated isn't solved.
About the projectHow to use this site
What you'll find here.
Each section answers a different question. If this is your first visit, here is the map.
01Conflict profilesThe full picture of each conflict: what is happening, who is fighting, what is at stake, how it got here and what may come next. This is the core of the site.See the conflicts02Global monitorThe map of documented events: where and when each one happened, with its source. Built to follow a situation day by day, not to read a summary.Open the map03ActorsWho is who in each conflict, and where else they appear. Forces, governments and groups, with what they control and what they want.See the actors04AnalysisOur own pieces and invited voices explaining the why behind the events: causes, consequences and regional readings.Read the analysis05BriefingsShort situation reads, to catch up on a conflict in five minutes without going through the whole profile.See the briefings06Severity indexOur instrument for comparing conflicts on the same scale: five dimensions and a 0–100 score. Still in development, published only where the evidence supports it.How it is calculated
About IAW
Independent platform for conflict monitoring and analysis. Open methodology, transparent scoring process, structured around the Conflict Severity Index.
Learn more about IAW→Stay Informed
Weekly analysis digest delivered to your inbox.
Finalizing NGO registration. We welcome partnerships, academic collaboration, and strategic support.
We are finalizing our formal registration as a non-profit organization. In the meantime, we welcome institutional partnerships, academic collaboration, and strategic support. For inquiries, contact us.