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This week's focus · South America

Political and Institutional Crisis in Venezuela

U.S. intervention, an uncertain transition, and acute economic fragility in a country central to regional stability and energy markets.

Conflicts tracked
20
Regions covered
14
Actors mapped
102
Last updated
Feb 10, 2026

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How we work

How we read a conflict.

We don't publish opinions about what happens. We rebuild the conflict from documented events, map every actor and what they want, and only then explain what it means. Here is Political and Institutional Crisis in Venezuela, step by step.

01

Who is who

The part you will rarely find in a news story: each actor, what they control and what they are after.

  • Chavista government (D. Rodríguez)Caretaker executive

    State apparatus · Constitutional limbo since July 2026

  • Nicolás MaduroFormer president, on trial in New York

    — · Detained; trial proposed for June 2027

  • United StatesExternal power; Jan 2026 military operation

    — · Three-phase transition plan

  • Venezuelan oppositionOpposition; Machado sidelined, Figuera negotiating

    — · Divided

See every actor

02

What to watch

The signals that could change the course of the conflict in the coming weeks.

  • Constitutional vacuumThe caretaker presidency exceeded the Art. 234 limit with no elections called; each week without definition erodes the…
  • Electoral reform negotiationThe Figuera-Rodríguez track on the CNE is the only active path toward a verifiable electoral timeline.
  • Post-earthquake reconstructionDisaster management defines the caretaker government's legitimacy and the pace of sanctions relief.
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