Civil War in Sudan
Guerra civil en Sudán
A critical score: conflict severity places affected populations at the index’s highest risk band, with sustained impact across multiple fronts. Recent context: Sudanese army recaptures strategic highway linking Khartoum and el-Obeid
Critical score with upward trend
How the index is built
Scroll through each dimension; the gauge builds as you go.
Civil War in Sudan
CSI · 0–100
M
Military Intensity
17.5/20
88%
C
Civilian Impact
20.0/20
100%
E
Escalation Risk
18.8/20
94%
H
Humanitarian Access
20.0/20
100%
I
Internationalization
17.4/20
87%
No visual material is attached to this score: not every assessment calls for it. The evidence behind it is cited in the timeline and in the methodology below.
What events moved the index?
No single event moved the score in this period. The assessment rested on structural indicators, which shift more slowly than events do: an empty timeline does not mean the conflict is standing still.
This conflict in global perspective
Civil War in Sudan ranks in the 83th percentile of the 6 conflicts monitored by IAW
Compare on the radar
Up to 4 conflicts on the radar (this one + 3 more).
Global severity ranking
What if…?
This simulator allows you to explore hypothetical scenarios. Adjust each dimension to see how the CSI would change.
CSI SIMULATOR
What if...?
Original: 17.5
Original: 20.0
Original: 18.8
Original: 20.0
Original: 17.4
Simulated Score
Critical
Actual
93.7
Adjust the controls to explore scenarios
Breakdown
M
17.5
C
20.0
E
18.8
H
20.0
I
17.4
Analysis by
- Ezequiel Emanuele
Reviewed by
- Review not recorded
Contributors
- No contributions recorded
Methodology version 1.0 · Last assessed 2026-01-25
The CSI is documented with verifiable sources and public criteria. The full methodology describes dimensions, sub-indicators, and how scores are assigned.
Full methodology