CSI/Armed Conflict and Political Instability in Ethiopia
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Armed Conflict and Political Instability in Ethiopia

Conflicto armado e inestabilidad política en Etiopía

0.0Medium

Medium severity: tension and structural violence shape daily life without yet reaching the index’s maximum alert threshold.

Assessed: Feb 6, 2026Analyst: Ezequiel Emanuele
Indicators

How the index is built

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Armed Conflict and Political Instability in Ethiopia

28Medium

CSI · 0–100

MCEHI
0.0Low
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Military Intensity
—/20
Civilian Impact
—/20
Escalation Risk
—/20
Humanitarian Access
—/20
Internationalization
—/20
CSI Total0.0/100

M

Military Intensity

5.0/20

25%

C

Civilian Impact

6.9/20

35%

E

Escalation Risk

8.0/20

40%

H

Humanitarian Access

4.0/20

20%

I

Internationalization

4.5/20

23%

Documented evidence

No multimedia evidence published for this score.

Timeline

What events moved the index?

No scoring events recorded for this period. Index changes reflect the systematic evaluation of structural indicators.

This conflict in global perspective

Armed Conflict and Political Instability in Ethiopia ranks in the 17th percentile of the 6 conflicts monitored by IAW

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Armed Conflict and Political Instability in Ethiopia
Military Intensity · 5.0Civilian Impact · 6.9Escalation Risk · 8.0Humanitarian Access · 4.0Internationalization · 4.5

Global severity ranking

Simulation

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5.0

Original: 5.0

6.9

Original: 6.9

8.0

Original: 8.0

4.0

Original: 4.0

4.5

Original: 4.5

Simulated Score

28.4

Medium

Actual

28.4

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Breakdown

M

5.0

C

6.9

E

8.0

H

4.0

I

4.5

Credits

Analysis by

  • Ezequiel Emanuele

Reviewed by

Contributors

Methodology version 1.0 · Last assessed 2026-02-06

The CSI is documented with verifiable sources and public criteria. The full methodology describes dimensions, sub-indicators, and how scores are assigned.

Full methodology