Armed Conflict and Political Instability in Ethiopia
Conflicto armado e inestabilidad política en Etiopía
Medium severity: tension and structural violence shape daily life without yet reaching the index’s maximum alert threshold. Recent context: Pretoria Agreement Signatories Warn of Risk of Renewed Hostilities in Tigray
How the index is built
Scroll through each dimension; the gauge builds as you go.
Armed Conflict and Political Instability in Ethiopia
CSI · 0–100
M
Military Intensity
5.0/20
25%
C
Civilian Impact
6.9/20
35%
E
Escalation Risk
8.0/20
40%
H
Humanitarian Access
4.0/20
20%
I
Internationalization
4.5/20
23%
No visual material is attached to this score: not every assessment calls for it. The evidence behind it is cited in the timeline and in the methodology below.
What events moved the index?
No single event moved the score in this period. The assessment rested on structural indicators, which shift more slowly than events do: an empty timeline does not mean the conflict is standing still.
This conflict in global perspective
Armed Conflict and Political Instability in Ethiopia ranks in the 17th percentile of the 6 conflicts monitored by IAW
Compare on the radar
Up to 4 conflicts on the radar (this one + 3 more).
Global severity ranking
What if…?
This simulator allows you to explore hypothetical scenarios. Adjust each dimension to see how the CSI would change.
CSI SIMULATOR
What if...?
Original: 5.0
Original: 6.9
Original: 8.0
Original: 4.0
Original: 4.5
Simulated Score
Medium
Actual
28.4
Adjust the controls to explore scenarios
Breakdown
M
5.0
C
6.9
E
8.0
H
4.0
I
4.5
Analysis by
- Ezequiel Emanuele
Reviewed by
- Review not recorded
Contributors
- No contributions recorded
Methodology version 1.0 · Last assessed 2026-02-06
The CSI is documented with verifiable sources and public criteria. The full methodology describes dimensions, sub-indicators, and how scores are assigned.
Full methodology