CSI / ACLED GEOPOLITICAL DATA / Sudan Crisis Report

Sudan

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From the 2021 institutional rupture to open SAF–RSF war, Sudan has entered the deadliest phase of its contemporary crisis. Common ACLED indicators show a structural jump in events and fatalities after April 2023, with sustained deterioration in civilian targeting through 2024.

Key takeaways

Source: ACLED · Period: Jan 2020Feb 2025 · Last updated: Feb 2025

From the 2021 coup to open war between the Army (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF), Sudan has experienced an escalation of violence that has left thousands dead and displaced.

  • Violence surges after the outbreak of civil war in April 2023.
  • Battles account for most reported fatalities.
  • Targeting of civilians becomes more frequent in 2024.
  • Over 19 regions affected; over 264 armed actors identified.
  • Peak fatalities in October 2024 with over 3,300 victims.

What you will see in this briefing

  • Operational data board and quantitative narrative
  • Timeline, six parallel ACLED types, and tactics
  • Actors, concentrated lethality, civilians, density map

Data board

Indicators from the same ACLED universe as this dossier.

20,617

Total events

Sudan universe in ACLED

41,122

Total fatalities

Deaths in the ACLED window

5,563

Civilian-targeting incidents

Accumulated civilian-targeting events

19

Regions affected

Divisions with at least one event

264

Armed actors

Distinct actors in the record

27%

Civilian-share of events

Percentage of all events

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Methods and data notes

What is ACLED?

ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project) collects data on political violence and protest events in near real time.

What is counted

Events (discrete incidents) and fatalities (deaths) are counted. Figures are conservative due to underreporting and coverage bias.

Limitations

Limitations: reporting bias by territorial access, underreporting in active conflict zones, classification changes over time.

Update frequency: weekly. Data may differ slightly between versions.